River bluff - standard?

[verstehen]

PokerStars Game #20533815741:  Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2008/09/19 16:33:05 ET
Table 'Polonia III' 2-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: psychosphere ($48.45 in chips)
Seat 2: BCingyou ($51.40 in chips)
BCingyou: posts small blind $0.25
psychosphere: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to BCingyou [ ]
BCingyou: raises $1 to $1.50
psychosphere: calls $1
*** FLOP *** [ ]
psychosphere: checks
BCingyou: bets $2
psychosphere: calls $2
*** TURN *** [ ] []
psychosphere: checks
BCingyou: checks
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
psychosphere: checks
BCingyou: bets $6

OK?

[Deadmoney]

Yep I like!

Regards David

[Tony]

I like it.  He's not calling the flop with KT, he'd probably raise with flush and straight draws on the board.  So either he has a draw like J9, AJ, QJ, AQ, flush draws (heavily weighted towards J9 and QJ, since AJ and AQ probably 3-bet preflop), or a single pair or kings, tens, deuces or a pocket pair.  In other words most of his range consists of one pair hands.

When he checks the turn I think you can narrow his range to either flush draws or an unimproved pair, he's probably bet/folding a straight or KQ/QT.

So when he checks AGAIN on the river after you showed weakness, he doesn't have a flush, and his most likely hand is a single pair.  So I'd say he'd definitely fold a bit less than 50%, and a pot-sized bluff looks good to me.  Is my reasoning errr... reasonable?

[cerealpoker]

as long as you're sure he's not a donk, good play.